{"id":100,"date":"2022-01-04T06:41:14","date_gmt":"2022-01-04T06:41:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.civilianintel.com\/?p=100"},"modified":"2023-12-16T07:29:26","modified_gmt":"2023-12-16T07:29:26","slug":"top-10-expectations-good-and-bad-for-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.civilianintel.com\/?p=100","title":{"rendered":"Top 10 expectations (Threats and Opportunities) for 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"

Overview:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Well its 2022 now – buckle up because i have a seeking suspicion this year will be a doozy!\u00a0 Why?\u00a0 I am glad you asked…\u00a0 This year i think will show some continuation of the trend and events we have seen starting in 2019 and 2020.\u00a0 This is because our culture\u00a0 is at the top (or bottom depending on how you look at it) of multiple cycles, the most important of which are the. 100, 250, and 500 year cycles (for more information on the sociological cycles please see the book Zero Hour by Harry S. Dent<\/a>).\u00a0 This time of upheaval is an exciting time.\u00a0 A time of great opportunity, but also a time of great peril.<\/p>\n

Let’s get the bad news out of the way first.\u00a0 For each of these events, I will also give a rough shoot-from-the-hip estimate of the likelihood i think there is for these events to happen.\u00a0 Please note: This list is purely for entertainment value, and is not intended as legal, medical, or financial advice)<\/p>\n

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Potential Threats to keep an eye on:<\/strong><\/p>\n

1: Continued COVID-19 and related chaos (99%)<\/strong><\/p>\n

The COVID bug is here to stay and I fully expect there to be continued lockdowns and mandates (especially in certain areas and population centers), but also, I think we will start to see a lot of blow back against the vaccines, and medical censorship.\u00a0 We may even see the “script” flip a but to where the new narrative is that the COVID vaccines are causing more harm then they are fixing and Donald Trump is to blame for rushing them under his “Operation Warp Speed”<\/p>\n

2: Inflation, and perhaps hyper inflation and\/or deflation may be about to hit in a big way (85%)<\/strong><\/p>\n

in the past to years we have seen historic bailouts, stimulus and wonton government spending as well as historic industrial shut downs an supply chain disruptions greatly impacting the amount of goods brought to market.\u00a0 \u00a0At the same time this is going on, a number of factors (Oil being politically disfavored, the US military no longer able to provide a guaranteed blanket of protection to oil producing countries thus enticing them to leave the petrodollar treaties of the 1970s)\u00a0 are coming together in a confluence to undermine the value and respect of the US Dollar on the international stage.\u00a0 These factors are coming together to create the possibility of the perfect storm to create a hyper inflated US Dollar.<\/p>\n

At this point you may be asking “You said hyper inflation or deflation, what would be the cause of the deflationary Scenario?”. Well I am glad you asked, but I am not glad at the answer I have to give. To put it bluntly, the answer is “death”.\u00a0 It seams that the all cause mortality rate is up 24% for folks getting the Covid vaccine (See https:\/\/www.israelnationalnews.com\/news\/317091?s=09<\/a>) If all of the sudden our death rate goes up by 24%, this may cause a general drop in demand, which would put deflationary pressure on the global economy.<\/p>\n

3: Growing global food insecurity as the cost of food raises and the availability of food drops. (90%)<\/strong><\/p>\n

In addition to all of the reasons from item number “2”, we are specifically seeing some troubling numbers in the food industry, specifically when it comes to food “precursors”\u00a0 (fertilizer, insecticide, herbicide, live stock feed, etc ) we are seeing massive price growth. (see https:\/\/cap.unl.edu\/crops\/fertilizer-prices-forecasted-continue-increase-what-know)<\/a><\/p>\n

4:\u00a0 Conflict (International and\/or Civil) (70%)<\/b><\/p>\n

Between Russias saber rattling over the Ukraine and the wests almost guaranteed response if Russia decides to attempt to annex the Ukraine and Chinas<\/a> desire to Annex Taiwan (and the wests almost guaranteed response to that)\u00a0 a World War is quite likely.\u00a0 Also, just because we multiple supper powers threatening to go “hot” does not mean that the other typical flashpoints are not still active.<\/p>\n

When it comes to Civil unrest things are equally tense. People around the world are growing tired of heavy handed authoritarian COVID response, burdensome environmental regulations, and corrupt election tampering.\u00a0 The discontent is not only contained in the populace either.\u00a0 In some cases the military senior leadership have expressed concerns that an uprising could rise from within their own ranks.<\/p>\n

5: Cyber interference with Infrastructure (75%)<\/strong><\/p>\n

In 2020 and2021 we saw multiple reports of high visibility cyber security incidents.\u00a0 Several of them where against specific infrastructure and caused some temporary and localized disruptions.\u00a0 \u00a0The World Economic forum has warned of something much grater, a “Cyber pandemic<\/a>“, a cyber security event that would have long lasting and unrestricted societal impacts much lime the Covid-19 pandemic.\u00a0 For more information on what something like this might look like, please check out my article on cyber attacks.<\/a><\/p>\n

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Potential Opportunities to investigate (NOTE: NOT FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVICE.\u00a0 For entertainment purposes only!\u00a0 I am not a financial advisor! <\/em>)<\/strong><\/p>\n

BlockChain and the Metaverse<\/strong><\/p>\n

Some say that blockchain and the metaverses that are built on it are the new up and coming internet technology.\u00a0 There have already been multiple millionaires and billionaires minted out of the space, and while i fear the season of nacent exponential growth may be coming to a close, i don’t think we are quite there yet.\u00a0 Not saying you should mortgage your kids, but it may be worth learning about and educating our self on (Again, NOT FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVICE!<\/em>)<\/p>\n

Automation<\/strong><\/p>\n

Anything that you can do to automate your world will not only make your life easier, but could potentially catch an employers eye.\u00a0 If you are looking for a programming language to learn with which to construct automated solutions, i would look into “Python”<\/p>\n

Decentralization<\/strong><\/p>\n

As the world around us changes and our society and the support infrastructures on which it is built, falls into disrepair around us, it may be wise to look at decoupling yourself, your family, and your community from\u00a0 dependance on the modern life support infrastructures we have grown to depend on. Ask your self: “if the power where to go out for 6 months, what would i do? what would it mean for my day to day life?\u00a0 What would it mean for my community? How can i soften that blow to my families life style?\u00a0 \u00a0Start to look into things like:<\/p>\n